> Wednesday noon Tropical Update: Activity may be possible next week in Caribbean or Gulf
Wednesday noon Tropical Update: Activity may be possible next week in Caribbean or Gulf
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Description
Harold made landfall in south Texas as a tropical storm. We were able to squeeze out a few showers associated with the broad circulation. Franklin remains our only active storm in the Caribbean and it's expected to move north over Hispaniola and continue into the Atlantic. There is also Invest 92 near the Cabo Verde Islands. This did have a high chance for development. However, the NHC has lowered that to a medium chance. The remnants of Emily have a low chance of redeveloping in the central Atlantic.
We will likely be watching around Central America for our next potential threat. GFS and Euro ensembles have been hinting at a tropical wave moving out of the East Pac/Caribbean and developing either in the NW Caribbean or southern Gulf. The shift in the upper high, currently over the central US and shifting west, and the deepening upper trough along the East Coast is a pattern which draws tropical systems northward toward the northern and eastern Gulf coasts.