Since last week, the models and NHC have indicated potential development in the Gulf. Models, however, are not overly aggressive and seem to indicate a broad surface low and mainly a rainmaker entering the Gulf late week. While the NHC has placed an "X" over an area of storms north of Panama as a possible tropical wave which could develop, they have removed it. Looking at both the GFS and Euro ensembles, it appears we will be watching two areas. One will be in the Bay of Campeche developing over the next few days and the other will be a surge of moisture coming out of the SW Caribbean. One or the other becomes the more dominate feature in the Gulf or they merge. Either way, models not bullish with development, and in fact have decreased the chance of development to "Low" 30%. Elsewhere, Kirk in the central Atlantic is now a major hurricane and, thankfully, will remain over open water. TD 13 is now Leslie and will follow a path right behind Kirk. The next name after Leslie is Milton.