> Friday evening tropical update: Julia moving toward Nicaragua
Friday evening tropical update: Julia moving toward Nicaragua
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Description
Chief Meteorologist Chris Franklin looks at a few computer models taking the remnants of Julia into the Gulf
Eye on the Tropics:
Tropical Storm Julia was upgraded this morning as the tenth named storm of the season. There is no real change in thinking. Models have been incredibly consistent since this was only a wave east of the Windward Islands. Some additional strengthening is possible tonight and tomorrow before it reaches Nicaragua, possibly as a hurricane, on Sunday. After which it will quickly weaken over central America.
Still unknown whether it will continue west into the East Pacific or possibly try to move along the western edge of a ridge of high pressure and reach the Bay of Campeche and the Gulf. Know that IF it did, it would be as an unorganized mess of rain and storms, no longer a named storm. It is possible the remnant moisture could move into the Gulf and approach the north-central Gulf coast. The reason I'm not concerned is that a deep upper trough will be sending a cold front through late Thursday/early Friday. The upper trough will greatly increase wind shear, introduce dry air, and quickly move the remnants to our east as it rides along the front. The Gulf in October is NOT the Gulf of August and September.