> Sunday 7 AM Tropical Update: Erin weakens slightly, still a Cat. 3 storm north of Puerto Rico
Sunday 7 AM Tropical Update: Erin weakens slightly, still a Cat. 3 storm north of Puerto Rico
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Description
Hurricane Erin was a powerful Category 5 storm most of Saturday before it weakened slightly in the evening to Category 4. As of Sunday, it is a Category 3 storm. It will skirt near Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and a few other islands this weekend. It is then expected to swing northward in the Atlantic Ocean in the next couple of days as it curves around a ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic.
Erin could lose a little of its strength due to increasing wind shear from the west, but it could still be a major hurricane through at least midweek as it curves to the north near the Bahamas. A trough of low pressure coming off the Northeastern US will help guide Erin away from the US later this week. Also, Erin will likely expand in size in the coming days. Erin should stay well east of the United States, but rough surf and rip currents are expected along the East Coast through the upcoming week. Some gusty winds are possible along the coast of the Carolinas mid to late week.
The National Hurricane Center is featuring a new spot in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean for a low chance of development in the next seven days. This would be from a tropical wave that will eventually move into this zone late this week. Models are not in sync about whether it will develop or where it will end up. This is unsurprising considering how far out it is. The disturbance won't reach the far eastern side of the Caribbean Sea until the end of this upcoming week, so we have a long time to watch it.
One other spot off the US East Coast as a low chance of development and will move east into the open ocean, bringing no impacts to land.